I'm a big fan of Nate Silver's Five Thirty-Eight blog at The New York Times (the former parent company of About.com). I haven't read his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail -- But Some Don't, yet but I'm looking forward to it.
I'm especially eager to read it since this review by The Washington Post describes a passage about the historic Chess match between grand master Garry Kasparov and the IBM computer Big Blue. (Chess is one of my top five ancient games.)
Silver says a programming bug "was likely what allowed the computer to beat Kasparov." IBM's Murray Campbell told Silver that the bug "may have made Kasparov misunderstand the capabilities of Deep Blue."
Image courtesy of The Penguin Press

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